Tuesday, March 31, 2015

Conflicting Data Has Stocks Stuck in Neutral

Stock markets are stuck in neutral today as good economic data and earnings reports cancel out the bad. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI  ) has hovered near flat most of the day and is down 0.11% as of 3:15 p.m. EDT, while the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC  ) is off 0.23%.

The bad economic news was a jump in new unemployment claims from 328,000 to 360,000 last week. This was worse than expected, but we're still well below the unemployment claims we saw last year, if you're looking for a silver lining. Meanwhile, April building permits rose to a seasonally adjusted 1.02 million, ahead of estimates, though housing starts declined to a seasonally adjusted 853,000 compared with 1.02 million in March. The housing market -- particularly new-home construction -- is key to an economic recovery. Add these figures to other economic indicators, and investors didn't see much reason to buy or sell today.

The positive earnings news came from Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO  ) , which has shot 13% higher. Revenue rose 5.2% to $12.2 billion, and earnings of $0.51 per share beat estimates by $0.02. Yesterday, IDC predicted that IT spending will slow from 5.6% a year ago to 4.9% this year, and competitor Juniper Networks recently reported weaker-than-expected results. That put a negative sentiment in investors' minds, so the earnings miss today was a big surprise. 

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Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ  ) bounced back from a loss yesterday to post a 1.9% gain. The company is getting favorable reviews for its 13-inch Split x2 and 10-inch SlateBook x2, which are intended to straddle the line between tablet and notebook. Investors seem to seesaw on this stock every day, depending on the mood of the market and reports from the PC industry. The bottom line with HP is that its businesses are in a tough strategic position, which makes investing in its stock a crapshoot right now. 

The bad earnings news today came from Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT  ) , whose stock is down 2.2%. The company reported a 1% increase in revenue to $114.2 billion, but analysts had expected $116.3 billion. On the bottom line, a profit of $3.78 billion, or $1.14 per share, also fell short of estimates, and the sell-off was on. Same-store sales excluding fuel were only up 0.2% as consumers, pressured by higher taxes, spent less during the quarter. Wal-Mart was hit harder than most retailers by the increase in payroll taxes in the first quarter, because its customers tend to have low to middling income and therefore feel the pinch more than higher-income earners. 

Monday, March 30, 2015

Antares Q1 Results Unimpressive, but Otrexup Could Be Catalyst

Antares Pharma (NASDAQ: ATRS  ) announced its first-quarter results  Wednesday morning but failed to impress the market. Shares were down around 3% in midday trading. Here are the highlights from the company's results.

Results
Antares reported a net loss for the quarter of $3.4 million, or $0.03 per share. That figure didn't compare well against the $74,000 loss from the same quarter a year ago, but met the average analysts' estimate.

Revenue for the first quarter totaled $4.5 million, a 34% drop from the $6.8 million reported in the same period of 2012. However, the total from last year benefited from a one-time milestone payment of $3 million. Analysts expected revenue for this year's first quarter of slightly over $5 million.

A significant portion of Antares' revenue stemmed from its partnership with Teva Pharmaceuticals (NYSE: TEVA  ) . Teva paid the company $1.2 million in royalties from the sale of hGH Tev-Tropin. Antares also sold $0.6 million of pre-launch quantities of its VIBEX auto injector to the Israel-based pharmaceutical firm for use in generic epinephrine auto-injector products. These items were on top of ongoing sales to Teva for reusable needle-free injector devices and disposable components.

Operating costs jumped during the first quarter by 18% year-over-year to $5.9 million. Antares attributed the increase to higher spending on efforts related to a planned 2014 commercial launch of Otrexup.

The company reported $80.3 million in cash and investments at the end of first quarter. That amount reflects a decrease from the $85.2 million total as of Dec. 31, 2012.

Looking ahead
Antares is banking on a positive decision from the Food and Drug Administration in October for Otrexup. The product enables delivery of methotrexate using Antares' Medi-Jet technology for the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis, poly articular-course juvenile rheumatoid arthritis, and psoriasis. 

Otrexup appears to be the most likely coming catalyst for Antares' fortunes. Methotrexate is taken by around 70% of rheumatoid arthritis patients. While many take the medication orally, that comes with some key drawbacks, including gastrointestinal side effects. Administering methotrexate via injection can minimize these side effects and improve absorption of the drug, but using traditional needles isn't appealing to a large number of patients. Antares thinks that the convenience of its Medi-Jet self-injection with Otrexup could prove attractive to this group.

Shares are up 21% over the past year, but most of the gains came from a rally in June and July of last year. So far, 2013 has looked unexciting for Antares. I don't expect that this situation will change dramatically until the fourth quarter when the FDA makes its decision on Otrexup. However, I anticipate a positive FDA ruling and an accompanying boost to Antares' stock. 

While you can certainly make huge gains in health care companies like Antares, the best investing approach is to choose great companies and stick with them for the long term. The Motley Fool's free report "3 Stocks That Will Help You Retire Rich" names stocks that could help you build long-term wealth and retire well, along with some winning wealth-building strategies that every investor should be aware of. Click here now to keep reading.

Sunday, March 29, 2015

Earnings Season Heats Up, but Dow Cools Off

Stocks continued to fall today on some disappointing economic data, and some earnings misses. As a result, The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI  ) finished down 0.6%. The Philadelphia Fed's manufacturing report for the mid-Atlantic region showed a reading of 1.3 in April, its first drop in seven months. Economists had expected an improvement from 2.0 in March, to 2.5. Meanwhile, initial unemployment claims last week totaled 352,000, slightly below expectations of 355,000, but still above last week's total, and seems to indicate that the downward trend a few weeks ago has stalled. The two reports seem to confirm that federal budget cuts and the payroll tax hike are slowing the economic recovery. Disappointing guidance from eBay last night also seems to hint at slower-than-expected consumption.

Four Dow stocks reported earnings today with Verizon (NYSE: VZ  ) and UnitedHealth (NYSE: UNH  ) releasing in the morning, and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT  ) and IBM (NYSE: IBM  ) coming in after hours.

UnitedHealth shares were under the weather today, falling 3.8%, after the insurance giant said it could get hit by Medicare cuts, which could be reduced by as much as 4%. That revenue would come on top of expected cost increases. For the first quarter, UnitedHealth said earnings dropped 14%, to $1.16 a share, but ahead of expectations of $1.14. Revenue grew 11%, to $30.34, slightly below, and the insurer maintained its full-year forecast of $5.25-$5.50 a share. The analyst consensus sits at $5.51 a share.

Verizon, meanwhile, jumped 2.8% to a 12-year high after the nation's No. 1 wireless provider reported wireless revenue increasing at a rapid pace. Earnings per share moved up from $0.58 a share year ago, to $0.69 a share, and revenue improved 4%. Analysts had expected just $0.66 a share. The telecom's number of smartphone activations dropped from 9.8 million in Q4 2012, to 7.2 million in Q1 2013, helping to beef up profits, as those phones often come with subsidies from the provider.

After hours, Microsoft shares jumped 2.6% after the Windows-maker topped Wall Street estimates with a $0.72 profit per share on expectations of $0.68 a share. Adjusting for deferred revenue, sales increased 8% in the quarter, to $19.8 billion. Microsoft also touted a new release of a seven-inch tablet, soon to hit the market, designed to compete with the iPad Mini and Kindle Fire.

IBM was not as lucky, though, as shares were off 4.4% after hours. The tech-services specialist reported a 1% drop in net income on delays in software and mainframe sales. For the quarter, IBM earned $2.70 a share, up from $2.61 a year ago, as per-share profits have been inflated due to share buybacks. Revenue also dropped 5% in the period, way below the Street's view, which was no change. Adjusted earnings of $3.00 also missed the analyst consensus at $3.05 a share.

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Thursday, March 26, 2015

Why Allot Communications Shares Popped

Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.

What: Shares of Allot Communications (NASDAQ: ALLT  ) have popped today by as much as 10% after the company scored a big contract.

So what: Allot said it landed a $6.5 million order from a "Tier-1" mobile operator in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa for Intelligent Steering and Value-Added Service licenses. The company added that the contract is a licensing expansion of an existing deployment. The customer will add functionalities to the current Allot Service Gateways deployment.

Now what: CEO Rami Hadar said the deal shows how Allot can help operators better handle network traffic. For context, Allot posted total revenue of $104.8 million last year, so this order is a solid score for the company. Allot separately confirmed that its next earnings release date will be May 7 before market open.

Interested in more info on Allot Communications? Add it to your watchlist by clicking here.

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Wednesday, March 25, 2015

ESPN 'SportsCenter' anchor Stuart Scott dies after battle with cancer

Stuart Scott's moving speech about his cancer   Stuart Scott's moving speech about his cancer NEW YORK (CNNMoney) Stuart Scott was the sports broadcaster that an entire generation of aspiring reporters wanted to be.

The veteran and energetic ESPN "SportsCenter" anchor has died after a years-long battle with cancer, the network said Sunday.

He was 49.

Scott spent the last 21 years on the air for ESPN, and his anchoring included coverage NFL, NBA and MLB games.

Viewers may remember him for his trademark catchphrases, such as, "Boo-yah" ... "He's as cool as the other side of the pillow" ... "He must be butter because he's on a roll" ... and "See, what had happened was ..."

His first diagnosis of stomach cancer came in November 2007, after he felt ill during a broadcast of "Monday Night Football," and ESPN said Scott "went through several surgeries, chemotherapy, radiation and clinical trials to stay strong and ward off cancer for as long as humanly possible."

Despite the cancer, he was resilient.

"Here's what I do right (after) chemo. Leave the infusion center & go STRAIGHT 2 either do a p90x wkout or train MMA..THATS how you #LIVESTRONG," he posted online in January when he received a third diagnosis.

Scott also found the strength to continue anchoring. He would frequently "lean back in his chair and relax during commercial breaks, often not hearing much of what his producer said," read a New York Times profile of Scott last spring.

In November, Scott responded to rumors that he was in hospice: "Not True. Airball. Swing & a miss."

Beloved as an anchor, colleague and father

Scott was remembered as a dedicated family man. He called his two daughters "my heartbeat."

In September, he was in the hospital when his ! youngest started in her first high school varsity soccer game.

"I DIDNT miss it," he posted online. "A friend I love ... FACETIMED me all game. Saw my daughtrs 3-goal "HATRICK" in a 3-1 win. I was cryin & yelling so ... Loud, nurses came in worried."

That was the "best day I ever had in a hospital," he wrote.

President Obama remembered Scott as a reliable presence in his life even when "public service and campaigns have kept me from my family."

"I will miss Stuart Scott," Obama said in a statement. "Twenty years ago, Stu helped usher in a new way to talk about our favorite teams and the day's best plays. ... Over the years, he entertained us, and in the end, he inspired us -- with courage and love."

On Sunday morning, there was an immediate outpouring of love and grief from Scott's longtime colleagues.

ESPN's Rick Reilly wrote on Twitter that he was heartbroken: Scott "lived with such panache. He battled his disease with such dignity. Unforgettable man."

Afternoon "SportsCenter" host Linda Cohn wrote, "I can't believe he is gone. There was nobody like Stuart Scott, There will never be again. A big presence with even a bigger heart."

And ESPN President John Skipper praised Scott for "energetic and unwavering devotion to his family and to his work" throughout the ordeal.

Stared down cancer with strength, intelligence

Scott was honored with the Jimmy V Perseverance Award, named for the late coach and broadcaster Jimmy Valvano, at last year's ESPY Awards. (ESPN said Scott's family requested donations in his memory be made to The V Foundation.)

"When you die, that does not mean you lose to cancer," Scott said in his acceptance speech. "You beat cancer by how you live, why you live and in the manner in which you live. So live, live, fight like hell. And when you get too tired, lay down, rest and let someone else fight for you.

"This whole fight, this journey, is not a solo venture. This is something! that req! uires support."

--CNNMoney's Brian Stelter contributed to this report.

Tuesday, March 24, 2015

5 Financial Milestones to Reach in 2015

Hands holding piggy bank Cultura RF/Getty Images Whether it's getting fit, eating better, traveling to new places, experiencing different things, making progress in a career or relationship -- we all have a few ways we'd like to take action to make the next year even better than the last. When you're thinking about the goals you'd like to set and reach in 2015, don't forget to consider how you'd like to improve your personal finances and create a better situation for yourself. Not sure where to start? Try incorporating one of these five financial milestones to reach in 2015 into your new year's resolutions. 1. Learn More About Personal Finance Did you find yourself wanting to learn more about your retirement accounts but didn't know who to ask? Have you been curious about HSAs or not sure what a certain investing term means? Did you want to learn more about money, but didn't know what questions to start asking? Make 2015 the year to increase your financial knowledge and get the answers to the questions you've been asking (or figure out the right questions to asking!). Read some general personal finance blogs like MoneyUnder30 -- and then look for other sites that talk about specific topics or issues you relate to (DailyFinance, of course, is a great start). Check out books at the library on financial planning. Tune in to financial podcasts. Book a call with a financial planner to see how a professional could help develop an action plan for your money goals. And mark your calendar for the fall of 2015. In October, you can attend Financial Planning Days. These events allow you to book a free session with a financial planner to answer questions you have about your personal finances. You can attend classroom-style informational lectures, too. To reach this milestone of continuing your financial education, make a list of three to five of your most pressing financial questions. Make it your mission to find the answers -- and take action on your new knowledge. 2. Boost Your Income If you're happy in your current position and want to continue progressing in your chosen career path, it's time to think about boosting your income. Make it a goal to negotiate a raise in the new year. Your first step: ensuring that you've actually that raise. Consider your strengths and look at the value you've provided to your company over the last six months to a year. When it's time for your performance review, explain to your boss how you go above and beyond and back up your claims. Not quite there yet? Ask for additional responsibilities. Knock your next project out of the park. Look for innovative ways to get work done and provide solutions to common problems in your position. Taking action now can help you earn more from your job before the end of 2015. 3. Track Your Spending and Create a Plan Yes, some people call it a budget, but I like the term "spending plan" because it sounds less restrictive. It's important to know where your money is currently going and then be able to redirect some of it toward your financial goals. In other words, stop keeping every other receipt and calling that good enough, or trying to keep up with your spending and income in your head. Put a system into place and stick with it this new year. Mint.com is a helpful financial tool that syncs up your debit, savings, credit card accounts and even loans you pay. With Mint, you can set a budget, like $200 a month for groceries, and see how much your groceries actually cost you a month. You will know how much you spent without having a running tally in your head. You can also use spreadsheet templates and input information yourself, or use a more complicated software like You Need a Budget. The tool you choose isn't important -- what's important is that you choose something that helps you track your money, spending and goals -- and it's something you'll stick with throughout the year. 4. Increase Your Net Worth You should also be tracking your net worth. Make this a habit in 2015. Your net worth is simply your assets minus your liabilities. Every time you add to your savings, you're building your net worth. That goes for paying down debt, too. The more debt you repay, the higher your net worth rises. Tracking your net worth allows you to see your entire financial picture all on one page. It also enables you to see your progress -- or identify spots where you need to work to make that progress you want to see. Sometimes we make our saving and debt repayment automatic and so it feels like we're not making much progress, but once you check in on your net worth, you'll see how much your plan is paying off! 5. Start a Side Hustle Capitalize on your skills or monetize a hobby to create a side hustle in 2015. Doing so can help you develop extra income -- which you can use to accelerate your progress to other financial goals. This is a financial milestone that everyone should reach, no matter how much you love your current job (or the full-time business you already run). Side hustles allow you to create diverse streams of income and open you up for new opportunities, experiences, and chances to learn new skills and abilities. It's a way of investing in yourself, while making extra money at the same time. Anyone can benefit from side hustling, including people established in their careers. Not sure where to start? Think about what you're good at and what you enjoy doing. Then consider ways you may be able to sell whatever that is to others. If you need some inspiration, be sure to check out Carrie Smith of Careful Cents, who used her side hustle as a freelance writer to pay off $14,000 of debt before turning her side gig into her full time business. Do you maintain the website at your full-time job? Consider taking those skills to a freelance marketplace. Have specialized knowledge? Monetize what you know by offering consulting services. Artistically inclined or talented in a crafty way? Use an online shop platform like Etsy to host and sell what you can make. When you're thinking about resolutions and goals this time of year, don't forget to consider how you can develop a commitment to improving your finances. Reaching some -- or all -- of these financial milestones in 2015 will allow you to feel more empowered and able to manage your money and hit other big goals in the future. More from Sophia Bera
•4 Best Apps to Organize Your Money in the New Year •Accumulation Trumps Allocation in Your Retirement Portfolio •FSA vs. HSA: What You Need to Know for Health Care

Monday, March 23, 2015

4 Tech Stocks Breaking Out on Unusual Volume

DELAFIELD, Wis. (Stockpickr) -- Professional traders running mutual funds and hedge funds don't just look at a stock's price moves; they also track big changes in volume activity. Often when above-average volume moves into an equity, it precedes a large spike in volatility.

 

Must Read: 10 Stocks George Soros Is Buying

 

Major moves in volume can signal unusual activity, such as insider buying or selling -- or buying or selling by "superinvestors."

 

Unusual volume can also be a major signal that hedge funds and momentum traders are piling into a stock ahead of a catalyst. These types of traders like to get in well before a large spike, so it's always a smart move to monitor unusual volume. That said, remember to combine trend and price action with unusual volume. Put them all together to help you decipher the next big trend for any stock.

 

With that in mind, let's take a look at several stocks rising on unusual volume recently.

 

Must Read: Warren Buffett's Top 10 Dividend Stocks

 

NetEase

 

NetEase (NTES), through its subsidiaries, operates in online games, Internet portal and e-mail and wireless value-added services businesses in the People's Republic of China. This stock closed up 1.5% at $85 in Wednesday's trading session.

 

Wednesday's Volume: 806,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 356,752

Volume % Change: 122%

 

From a technical perspective, NTES trended modestly higher here right above some near-term support at $81.42 with above-average volume. This stock has been downtrending over the last month and change, with shares moving lower from its high of $90.77 to its recent low of $81.42. During that downtrend, shares of NTES have making mostly lower highs and lower lows, which is bearish technical price action. That said, shares of NTES have now started to rebound off that $81.42 low and it's quickly moving within range of triggering a near-term breakout trade. That trade will hit if NTES manages to take out its 50-day moving average of $86.28 with high volume.

 

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in NTES as long as it's trending above Wednesday's intraday low of $82.65 or above more near-term support at $81.42 and then once it sustains a move or close above its 50-day at $86.28 with volume that hits near or above 356,752 shares. If that breakout kicks off soon, then NTES will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $90.08 to $90.77, or even its 52-week high at $91.06. Any high-volume move above its 52-week high at $91.06 will then give NTES a chance to make a run at $95 to $100.

 

Must Read: 5 Stocks Insiders Love Right Now

 

Advent Software

 

Advent Software (ADVS) provides software products and services for automating and integrating data and work flows across the investment management organization, as well as between the investment management organization and external parties worldwide. This stock closed up 4% at $33.49 in Wednesday's trading session.

 

Wednesday's Volume: 720,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 296,403

Volume % Change: 165%

 

From a technical perspective, ADVS ripped sharply higher here right off its 50-day moving average of $32.05 with above-average volume. This strong spike higher on Wednesday also pushed shares of ADVS into breakout territory, since the stock took out some near-term overhead resistance at $33.25. Shares of ADVS are now quickly moving within range of triggering another big breakout trade. That trade will hit if ADVS manages to clear Wednesday's intraday high of $33.55 to some more key overhead resistance levels at $34.59 to its 52-week high of $36.11 with volume.

 

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in ADVS as long as it's trending above its 50-day at $32.05 or above its 200-day at $31.15 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that's near or above 296,403 shares. If that breakout hits soon, then ADVS will set up to enter new 52-week-high territory above $36.11, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that breakout are $40 to $45, or even $50.

 

Must Read: 7 Stocks Warren Buffett Is Selling in 2014

 

TrueCar

 

TrueCar (TRUE) operates as an Internet-based information, technology and communication services company. This stock closed up 11% to $23.06 in Wednesday's trading session.

 

Wednesday's Volume: 2.66 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 964,209

Volume % Change: 375%

 

From a technical perspective, TRUE exploded sharply higher here right above some near-term support at $19.51 with heavy upside volume flows. This strong move to the upside on Wednesday pushed shares of TRUE into breakout territory, since the stock took out some near-term overhead resistance at $21.90. Shares of TRUE are now quickly moving within range of triggering another big breakout trade. That trade will hit if TRUE manages to clear Wednesday's intraday high of $23.88 to its all-time high at $24.84 with high volume.

 

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in TRUE as long as it's trending above Wednesday's intraday low of $20.51 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 964,209 shares. If that breakout materializes soon, then TRUE will set up to enter new all-time-high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that breakout $30 to $35.

 

Must Read: 4 Bargain Bin Stocks to Pad Your Portfolio in October

 

eLong

 

eLong (LONG) operates as an online travel service provider in the People's Republic of China. This stock closed up 7.5% to $19.79 in Wednesday's trading session.

 

Wednesday's Volume: 96,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 30,062

Volume % Change: 125%

 

From a technical perspective, LONG spiked sharply higher here right off its 50-day moving average of $18.39 with above-average volume. This spike to the upside on Wednesday is now quickly pushing shares of LONG within range of triggering a big breakout trade. That trade will hit if LONG manages to take out some near-term overhead resistance levels at $20 to $21 and then above some past overhead resistance at $21.73 with high volume.

 

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in LONG as long as it's trending above its 50-day at $18.39 or above its 200-day at $17.40 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 30,062 shares. If that breakout hits soon, then LONG will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance level at its 52-week high of $24. Any high-volume move above $24 will then give LONG a chance to make a run at $30.

 

Must Read: 10 Stocks Billionaire John Paulson Loves in 2014

 

To see more stocks rising on unusual volume, check out the Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume portfolio on Stockpickr.

 

-- Written by Roberto Pedone in Delafield, Wis.

 

RELATED LINKS:

 

>>Beat the S&P With 5 Hated Short-Squeeze Stocks

 

>>3 Breakout Stocks Under $10 for Your Watch List

 

>>5 Foreign Stocks to Buy for Gains at Home

 

Follow Stockpickr on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

 

At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.

 

Roberto Pedone, based out of Delafield, Wis., is an independent trader who focuses on technical analysis for small- and large-cap stocks, options, futures, commodities and currencies. Roberto studied international business at the Milwaukee School of Engineering, and he spent a year overseas studying business in Lubeck, Germany. His work has appeared on financial outlets including CNBC.com and Forbes.com. You can follow Pedone on Twitter at www.twitter.com/zerosum24 or @zerosum24.


Saturday, March 21, 2015

4 Health Care Stocks Triggering Breakout Trades on Unusual Volume

DELAFIELD, Wis. (Stockpickr) -- Professional traders running mutual funds and hedge funds don't just look at a stock's price moves; they also track big changes in volume activity. Often when above-average volume moves into an equity, it precedes a large spike in volatility.

Must Read: 5 Stocks to Trade for Big Breakout Gains

Major moves in volume can signal unusual activity, such as insider buying or selling -- or buying or selling by "superinvestors."

Unusual volume can also be a major signal that hedge funds and momentum traders are piling into a stock ahead of a catalyst. These types of traders like to get in well before a large spike, so it's always a smart move to monitor unusual volume. That said, remember to combine trend and price action with unusual volume. Put them all together to help you decipher the next big trend for any stock.

With that in mind, let's take a look at several stocks rising on unusual volume recently.

Must Read: 10 Stocks Billionaire John Paulson Loves in 2014

Hologic

Hologic (HOLX) develops, manufactures and supplies diagnostics products, medical imaging systems and surgical products for women. This stock closed up 2.6% at $24.79 in Monday's trading session.

Monday's Volume: 3.79 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 1.80 million

Volume % Change: 128%

From a technical perspective, HOLX jumped notably higher here right above some near-term support at $24.07 with above-average volume. This trend to the upside on Monday is starting to push shares of HOLX within range of triggering a near-term breakout trade. That trade will hit if HOLX manages to take out its 50-day moving average of $25.30 to some more near-term overhead resistance at $25.63 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in HOLX as long as it's trending above some key near-term support levels at $24.07 or above its 200-day moving average of $23.29 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that's near or above 1.80 million shares. If that breakout hits soon, then HOLX will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $26.47 to its 52-week high at $26.75. Any high-volume move above $26.47 will then give HOLX a chance to make a run at $30.

I also featured Hologic, one of Carl Icahn's top holdings, recently in "5 Stocks With Big Insider Buying."

Must Read: How to Trade the Market's Most-Active Stocks

Radius Health

Radius Health (RDUS), a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing novel therapeutics for patients with osteoporosis and other serious endocrine-mediated diseases in the U.S. This stock closed up 4.5% to $15.30 in Monday's trading session.

Monday's Volume: 91,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 60,373

Volume % Change: 50%

From a technical perspective, RDUS spiked sharply higher here right above some near-term support at $14.10 with above-average volume. This stock has been uptrending strong for the last two months, with shares moving higher from its low of $8.08 to its recent high of $15.98. During that uptrend, shares of RDUS have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. This spike higher on Monday is now starting to push shares of RDUS within range of triggering a major breakout trade. That trade will hit if RDUS manages to clear some key near-term overhead resistance levels at $15.72 to $15.98 and then above its all-time high at $17.32 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in RDUS as long as it's trending above some key near-term support levels at $14.10 or above its 200-day at $12.77 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 60,373 shares. If that breakout kicks off soon, then RDUS will set up to enter new all-time-high territory above $17.32, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that move are $20 to $23.

Must Read: 5 Short-Squeeze Stocks Set to Soar on Bullish Earnings

OncoMed Pharmaceuticals

OncoMed Pharmaceuticals (OMED), a clinical development-stage biotechnology company, focuses on discovering and developing monoclonal antibody therapeutics targeting cancer stem cells. This stock closed up 5.3% at $18.08 in Monday's trading session.

Monday's Volume: 446,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 178,792

Volume % Change: 155%

From a technical perspective, OMED ripped higher here right above previous support at $16.57 with above-average volume. This stock has been downtrending badly for the last four months and change, with shares moving lower from its high of $28.43 to its recent low of $16.57. During that move, shares of OMED have been making mostly lower highs and lower lows, which is bearish technical price action. That said, shares of OMED have now starting to rebound off some previous support and it's quickly moving within range of triggering a near-term breakout trade. That trade will hit if OMED manages to clear some near-term overhead resistance levels at $19.17 to its 50-day at $19.92 and then above more resistance at $20 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in OMED as long as it's trending above some key near-term support at $16.57 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 178,792 shares. If that breakout kicks off soon, then OMED will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $21.80 to $22.43, or even $24 to $24.48.

Must Read: 5 Breakout Stocks Under $10 Set to Soar

Hyperion Therapeutics

Hyperion Therapeutics (HPTX), a commercial biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapeutics to treat disorders in the areas of orphan diseases and hepatology. This stock closed up 1.6% at $25.02 in Monday's trading session.

Monday's Volume: 215,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 136,470

Volume % Change: 50%

From a technical perspective, HPTX spiked modestly higher here right above some previous support at $23.73 with above-average volume. This spike higher on Monday also pushed shares of HPTX back above its 50-day moving average of $24.60. Shares of HPTX are now starting to trend within range of triggering a near-term breakout trade. That trade will hit if HPTX manages to take out its 200-day moving average of $25.53 to some more near-term overhead resistance at $26.25 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in HPTX as long as it's trending above support at $23.73 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that this near or above 136,470 shares. If that breakout gets started soon, then HPTX will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $27.89 to $28, or even $30.

To see more stocks rising on unusual volume, check out the Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume portfolio on Stockpickr.

-- Written by Roberto Pedone in Delafield, Wis.

 

RELATED LINKS:

 

>>5 Rocket Stocks Ready for Blastoff This Week

 

>>4 Big Stocks Making Headlines -- and How to Trade Them

 

>>4 Stocks Under $10 Moving Higher

 

Follow Stockpickr on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

 

At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.


Roberto Pedone, based out of Delafield, Wis., is an independent trader who focuses on technical analysis for small- and large-cap stocks, options, futures, commodities and currencies. Roberto studied international business at the Milwaukee School of Engineering, and he spent a year overseas studying business in Lubeck, Germany. His work has appeared on financial outlets including CNBC.com and Forbes.com. You can follow Pedone on Twitter at www.twitter.com/zerosum24 or @zerosum24.

 


Thursday, March 19, 2015

Emerge, Phillips 66 Lead Strong MLP Gains

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The first half of 2014 is in the books, and it was a good one for publicly traded Master Limited Partnerships (MLPs), and for the energy sector overall. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Energy index rose 12 percent in the first half, compared to a 7 percent rise for the S&P 500. Most of the gains in the energy sector took place in the second quarter, with the S&P 500 Energy index up 11 percent, more than double the nearly 5 percent gain for the S&P 500.

But MLPs outperformed the S&P 500 and even the broader energy market rally. The Alerian MLP Index gained 13.6 percent in the first half, with a total return (factoring in yield) of 16.8 percent. As with the broader energy markets, the gains occurred mostly in the second quarter, which delivered a total return of 14.2 percent.

There were six initial public offerings (IPOs) of MLPs in the first half of the year. They were:

Cypress Energy Partners (NYSE: CELP), a growth-oriented MLP providing saltwater disposal and other water and environmental services to US onshore oil and natural gas producers in North Dakota and west Texas

Enable Midstream Partners (NYSE: ENBL), a joint venture by affiliates of CenterPoint Energy (NYSE: CNP), OGE Energy (NYSE: OGE) and ArcLight Capital Partners. Enable Midstream Partners is one of the largest midstream partnerships in the US, with oil and gas midstream assets that extend from western Oklahoma and the Texas Panhandle to Alabama and from Louisiana to Illinois

GasLog Partners (NYSE: GLOP), an offshoot of GasLog (NYSE: GLOG). GasLog Partners owns three liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers dropped down from GLOG, and has options to purchase 12 more

PBF Logistics (NYSE: PBFX), a midstream company formed by PBF Energy (NYSE: PBF) that will serve as the primary vehicle to expand the logistics assets supporting its business. The partnership currently supports crude oil logistics f! or three PBF Energy refineries and will own or lease, operate, develop and acquire crude oil and refined petroleum products terminals, pipelines, storage facilities and similar logistics assets

Foresight Energy Partners (NYSE: FELP), a coal producer operating four underground mining complexes in the Illinois Basin. FELP is one of the largest owners of coal reserves in the US, and claims to be the lowest cost and highest margin domestic thermal coal producer

Viper Energy Partners (NASDAQ: VNOM), a spinoff from Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ: FANG). Viper owns mineral rights on 14,804 acres in the Permian Basin in West Texas, and became the first US-listed partnership structured on the basis of royalty payments

In addition to the MLP IPOs, momentum continued to build for the financial instrument known as a YieldCo. (See YieldCos: The Pseudo-MLP.) Spanish power plant builder Abengoa (NASDAQ: ABGB) formed Abengoa Yield (NASDAQ: ABY) to own two concentrating solar power plants in the US, two smaller ones in Spain, and a handful of other assets (a mix of renewable and nonrenewable).

Another YieldCo, Nextera Energy Partners (NYSE: NEP) which will own and operate renewable energy plants built by NextEra Energy (NYSE: NEE) launched June 27. NEP priced its IPO at $25 per share, then saw the share price surge to $32.36 on the first day of trading. NEP's initial portfolio will consist of wind and solar farms in the US and Canada with a total generating capacity just under a gigawatt.

Another milestone in the first half of 2014 came when the first major integrated oil and gas company made plans to launch an MLP. According to the S-1 registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Shell Midstream Partners (which will trade as SHLX) plans to raise up to $750 million in the IPO for sponsor Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS-A). Assets included in the IPO are a 1.6 percent interest in Colonial Pipeline Company, which owns the largest refined products pipel! ine in th! e US; a 43 percent interest in Zydeco Pipeline Company, which will own the Ho-Ho crude oil pipeline system; a 28.6 percent interest in Mars Oil Pipeline Company, which owns the Mars crude oil pipeline; and a 49 percent interest in Bengal Pipeline Company, which owns a refined products pipeline that connects four refineries in Louisiana.

The top performing MLP of the first half was Emerge Energy Services (NYSE: EMES), a supplier of sand used in hydraulic fracking (+146 percent). The second leading gainer with a gain of 110 percent was Phillips 66 Partners (NYSE: PSXP), which IPO'd a year ago and consists of midstream assets dropped down from its sponsor, Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX).

Rounding out the top five were Hi-Crush Partners (NYSE: HCLP), another supplier of fracking sand (+71 percent), EQT Midstream Partners (NYSE: EQM), a midstream provider in the Appalachian Basin (+66.5 percent), and Valero Energy Partners (NYSE:VLP) (+61.5 percent), which consists of midstream assets dropped down from the refiner Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO).

The worst performer in the first half was Oxford Resource Partners (NYSE: OXF), a coal producer that suspended its distribution more than a year ago and has seen its unit price continue to decline. It is down 31.5 percent in 2014. Boardwalk Pipeline Partners (NYSE: BWP) saw the second worst decline in the first half of 2014 after announcing a distribution cut of more than 80 percent. BWP saw its unit price plunge by 46 percent in a single trading session. It has since recovered somewhat, but is down 28.8 percent year-to-date.

Rounding out the bottom five were OCI Partners (NYSE: OCIP), a methanol and ammonia producer (-24 percent YTD), Natural Resource Partners (NYSE: NRP), another coal producer (-19 percent), and Eagle Rock Energy Partners (NASDAQ: EROC), an oil and gas production partnership (-17 percent).

(Follow Robert Rapier on Twitter, LinkedIn, or Facebook.)

Monday, March 16, 2015

Keurig Green Mountain: Time to Take Profits

How good has 2014 been for Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR)? So good that it’s time to take profit, says Buckingham Research’s Matthew DiFrisco and Katherine Heng. They explain:

Jason Myers for the Wall Street Journal

We are lowering our investment rating to Neutral on Keurig Green Mountain shares and recommend investors with shorter time horizons use the recent share appreciation to take profit. Keurig Green Mountain shares are up over 65% YTD, meaningfully ahead of the S&P’s 5% gain. We maintain our above consensus outlook for both FY14 and FY15, reflecting greater revenue and margin estimates. Upside to our outlook is limited given upfront investments for both the F4Q14 introduction of 2.0 hot brewing platform and the FY15 launch of the cold system in addition to unfavorable YoY coffee costs in FY15.

As you might have noticed, however, DiFrisco and Heng still like what Keurig has been able to do, including its deals with Target (TGT) and Coca-Cola (KO):

Keurig Green Mountain has already begun to recoup dollar market share from its unlicensed rivals as well as convert them to licensed partners. Notable partner conversions include Target’s Archer Farms and Peet’s Coffee transitioning later this summer. Keurig Green Mountain’s company and licensed brands grew 11.6% YoY in the last 4 week period measured by Nielsen and garner 74.8% dollar share of grocery vs. 74.5% the prior month and 84.5% a year ago. The single serve coffee category as measured by Nielsen in grocery grew 26% last month, vs. 46.5% in the year ago period…

If you assume in the first 3 years that Keurig Green Mountain’s cold system, with the aid of Coca-Cola, could garner ~1% of the ~$125B soft drink market in the US at its current EBIT of ~20%, it would add $250M in EBIT, or 25% of FY14E EBIT.

Shares of Keurig Green Mountain have dropped 2.7% to $122.63 at 11:53 a.m., while Coca-Cola has gained 0.5% to $41.75 and Target has risen 0.4% to $58.95.

Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (ULTA) Q1 Earnings Preview: Looking Pretty

Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA) will conduct a conference call to discuss its first quarter 2014 results on Tuesday, June 10, 2014 at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time / 4:00 p.m. Central Time. A press release detailing the Company's first quarter 2014 results will be issued after the market closes and prior to the call.

Wall Street anticipates that the beauty retailer maker will earn $0.74 per share for the quarter, which is $0.09 more than last year's profit of $0.65 per share. iStock expects Ulta to hit Wall Street's consensus number, the iEstimate is $0.74, but there could be upside for both numbers, read on…

[Related -Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (ULTA): CEO Bought – Should You?]

Sales, like earnings, are expected to increase; jumping 20.1% year-over-year (YoY). ULTA's consensus revenue estimate for Q1 is $699.85 million, which is a lot more than last year's $582.71 million.

Ulta Beauty offers a unique combination of over 20,000 prestige and mass beauty products across the categories of cosmetics, fragrance, haircare, skincare, bath and body products and salon styling tools. Ulta Beauty also offers a full-service salon and a wide range of salon haircare products in all of its stores.  As of February 1, 2014 the Company operates 675 retail stores across 46 states and also distributes its products through the Company's website: www.ulta.com.

[Related -Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (ULTA): Bullish Options Play Eyes Further Upside in Ulta]

Ulta has been a phenomenal bullish earnings surprise delivering machine. The specialty retailer topped Wall Street's consensus EPS view for at least 16 consecutive quarters. In the last four years, ULTA averaged $0.04 more in profits per share than expected by the street.  Beats ranged from 1.89% to 40% more than forecasted.

As you might expect, ULTA shareholder were happy in the days surrounding quarterly checkup a lot more often than not. You'd be right. Investors bought the beauty supplies chain 13 of the last 16 quarters, driving the share price higher by an average of 10.52%.  Meanwhile, the trifecta of declines were -3.7%, -16.3% and -16.6%, painful.

Now, Q1 always show quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) revenue declines. It's to be expected in the retail space post-Christmas. Typically, the falloff is 24% of more QoQ; however, this year might prove to be less volatile than the last four June announcements.

According to Google Trends, search volume intensity (SVI) is down 16.67 from the fourth quarter, which is a lot less than the typical quarter-to-quarter Q4 to Q1 decline. Meanwhile, YoY queries are up 20.68% and in-line with sales forecasts.

Along with SVI looking favorable, ULTA's income statement in good shape, too. As long as ULTA hits their marks, profit margins should remain constant as management has done a praiseworthy job of keeping costs and expenses in-line.

It's also a positive for margins that inventory per store increased at just 3% YoY while sales moved ahead by 20.28%. The difference is a sign that demand could be outpacing supply.

Overall: Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA) history and SVI suggest it will be at least 17 consecutive quarters of bullish surprises. If the top line is a little fatter than expected too, then shares have plenty of headroom to move higher. 

Wednesday, March 11, 2015

How Good is a Tax-Deferred Retirement Account?

Retirement Fund Getty Images The recent spotlight on 401(k) fees is a good wake-up call for employers to improve on the current system. But I worry that all the coverage of how bad many 401(k) fund choices are will simply drive even more people away from saving for retirement using these tax-deferred accounts. Our 401(k) system is far from perfect, but contributing money to these accounts is still one of the best moves you can make for your retirement. Here are some of the many benefits of tax-deferred accounts: Taking money out of a retirement account to spend is much harder. Not being able to access money until you are 59½ without paying a penalty sounds like a bad deal, but it's one of the most powerful features of a tax-deferred account. By forcing you to leave the money in the account and allowing compounding to work its magic, you will be much better off in retirement. You will probably pay less income tax on the money if you defer taxes until retirement. Most people earn more by working than they will in retirement. When you withdraw money from a retirement account it is likely to be taxed at a lower rate than what you would pay now. And with the many deductions available to seniors, many retirees won't pay much tax at all. While there will be a few exceptions for people who have huge retirement account balances, a good portion of the population won't ever pay much in taxes on the dollars they put into a 401(k). You won't have to pay taxes on dividends, interest or capital gains every year. Not many people talk about the yearly tax savings they get from their retirement account, but it adds up. Dividends, interest and capital gains can put a serious dent into compounding growth because you often have to pay taxes on them each year. But you don't have to worry about any of that for investments inside a tax-protected account because no taxes are due until you withdraw the money. The no-tax situation gives you the freedom to make smart investment moves. Some people hold on to a stock because they don't want to pay taxes on the sale, only to see the value of the investment drop like a rock. But within a retirement account you don't have to worry about how various types of investments are taxed, because you don't have to pay annual taxes on it and everything is taxed as income when you take the money out. You're free to select the most appropriate investments, and don't need to worry about the impact on your tax bill until retirement. Moving to a lower tax state in retirement could save you even more. Relocating is a big decision that shouldn't just be based on trying to pay less tax. But moving to a place with a significantly lower cost of living can stretch your retirement budget. And if the state you pick doesn't have an income tax, you will pay even less on your retirement account withdrawals in retirement. Reducing taxes now increases financial security. When you save money in retirement accounts, you are both putting money aside for the future and increasing your take home pay by lowering your tax bill. The higher your income and tax bracket, the more money you can save by contributing money to a tax-deferred 401(k) or IRA. But even people in the lowest tax bracket who save for retirement benefit because they can claim the saver's credit for their contributions. Our tax-deferred retirement system is far from perfect, but the option to defer taxes offers an incredible opportunity for everyone to save for retirement. Using a 401(k) or IRA can allow you to reduce your current income tax bill, avoid paying taxes on the gains each year and potentially pay income tax at a lower rate when you withdraw the money in retirement. There's also a penalty that will prevent many people from dipping into the account too soon, which helps insure that the money will only be used for retirement or true emergencies. The earlier you get money into a retirement account, the greater the benefit you can accrue before withdrawals become required after age 70½, so stop procrastinating and start saving.

Tuesday, March 10, 2015

Delamaide: Wall St. may tilt fight for Senate

WASHINGTON — Can the chance that a liberal Democrat will chair the Senate Banking Committee tilt the close Senate race in North Carolina against the Democratic incumbent, Kay Hagan?

Apparently it can, according to a report from Politico, a specialized publication that chronicles the goings-on in Washington in minute detail.

The Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs, which plays a major role in determining Washington policy toward Wall Street, is on the front line of the trench warfare in this year's mid-term elections as Democrats struggle to maintain their majority in the Senate.

Many Democratic incumbents face an uphill battle for re-election and most prognosticators see Republicans picking up at least three or four seats. The North Carolina race is currently rated a toss-up — one of a handful of races that will determine which party controls the Senate.

Hagan is a member of the Banking Committee but focuses more on her other committee memberships and is not campaigning on banking issues.

But well-heeled Wall Street contributors may withhold funding from her because they want to stop Ohio Democrat Sherrod Brown, who is not running for re-election, from becoming chairman of the banking committee if Democrats retain control.

Absolute majority in the Senate may seem illusory when filibuster rules often make it necessary to get 60 votes to pass legislation. The current lineup of 55-45 in favor of Democrats (including two independents) might become 52-48 in favor of Republicans, but the Senate could remain largely gridlocked thanks to filibuster rules that enable the minority to block legislation.

But the party with the majority also gets a majority on all the Senate committees and determines the chairman — a huge factor especially when legislation is hard to come by.

Committee chairmanship is not just a nice perk of seniority. It is the chairman who sets the agenda, schedules hearings, determines witnesses, and otherwise drives the poli! tical debate for the issues covered by that panel.

This powerful role not only influences new legislation but can shape implementation of all existing legislation and goad the government's conduct in one direction or another.

And Wall Street is horrified at the direction that Brown — a passionate advocate of limiting the size of banks and other restrictions — would take government policies on financial regulation.

The current chairman of the banking committee, South Dakota's Tim Johnson, is retiring. Brown, who is only in his second term, is not next in line in terms of seniority. But those who are qualify for other jobs and are likely to choose them.

Jack Reed of Rhode Island is first in line for banking chairman, but is thought to prefer the chairmanship of the Armed Services Committee, which is also opening up.

Chuck Schumer of New York, who is second in line, has been a steady supporter of Wall Street through his long career in the Senate. He would be welcomed by the industry but probably has his sights trained on the leadership position currently held by Harry Reid of Nevada.

Third in line, New Jersey's Robert Menendez, will almost certainly prefer to retain his post as chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee. That would make Brown chairman of the banking panel.

Brown is not Wall Street's only problem, because anti-bank legislation has proven to be one of the truly bipartisan issues in Congress. Brown has won over Republicans like David Vitter of Louisiana to cosponsor legislation that seeks to limit bank size by imposing tougher capital requirements.

And this is precisely why Brown poses such a danger for them. The industry needs someone in the post who would dampen the political backlash against Wall Street, not inflame it.

Brown, for instance, not only commissioned a report from the Government Accountability Office on how government policies subsidize big banks, but as chairman of the Subcommittee on Financial Institutions scheduled a! hearing ! in January to publicize its findings – and to caution the GAO against industry influence as it prepares the second part of the report.

It was Schumer's apparent distaste for the banking post that caught Politico's attention. Those familiar with the New York senator's thinking told the publication that taking a stand on banking issues, one way or the other, would impede his chances of becoming caucus leader, which is his ultimate goal.

If there is a chance Schumer will clear the way for Brown to chair the banking panel, that tilts Wall Street support to Republicans.

"A lot of people on Wall Street would give a lot of money to avoid that outcome," an unnamed "Democratic-leaning executive" told Politico. "People are tired of all the show trials. So if giving to someone like Kay Hagan means you get Brown as chairman? No thanks."

The top Republican on the committee is Mike Crapo of Idaho, a conservative considered more sympathetic to Wall Street complaints about government restrictions. He would be in line to chair the committee if Republicans gain the majority.

Voters in North Carolina, or in other Senate toss-up states like Louisiana and Alaska, may not be aware of it, but their votes could do much to determine the course of financial regulation in the coming years.

Darrell Delamaide has reported on business and economics from New York, Paris, Berlin and Washington for Dow Jones news service, Barron's, Institutional Investor and Bloomberg News service, among others. He is the author of four books, including the financial thriller Gold.

Monday, March 9, 2015

Extended Warranties: For Most, They're a Waste of Money

mobilephone splashed into waterGetty Images Extended warranties are everywhere. It seems like every retailer is offering them now, even for purchases as small as a $30 toaster oven. And according to research done by Protect Your Bubble, a third-party gadget insurer, 40 percent of U.S. buyers are taking those stores up on the offers. Sales of extended warranties have seen between 15 percent and 20 percent annual growth over the past 3 years. And there's good reason for retailers to push them: Extended warranties are mostly just a high-margin upsell for the companies that provide them. And in almost every case, they are a bad deal for consumers. Why Extended Warranties Get Such a Bad Rap Extended warranties are a form of insurance -- which makes them, at bottom, nothing more than a bet against "the house." "Insurance companies [and extended warranties] only make money if the company collects more money than it pays out," says Professor Bruce Clark of Northeastern University's D'Amore-McKim School of Business. Companies that offer insurance and extended warranties have teams of actuaries who calculate the odds that a consumer will file a claim. And the odds aren't in our favor. It's this entirely accurate impression that we're gambling in a rigged game to buy them that gives extended warranties their bad rap. It's hard to visualize the benefits until you use any form of insurance, and even when you have it, you hope to never need to use it. A Good Buy for Klutzy People Whether or not you should consider extended warranties might be better based on the type of person you are than the types of products you're buying. Are you klutzy? Prone to breaking things? Do you have unusual usage habits for your gear? Then extended warranties may actually be a good fit for you. "A friend of mine bought smartphones for himself and his teenage son, but he only bought the insurance for his son," says Clark. Think about it in the context of your car, for example, he suggests. "If you are an unusually heavy user, for example, driving twice as much as the average person, then an extended warranty based on time [not miles] may make sense." Most of us aren't klutzes, and the way we use our technology is fairly close to the norm. That makes us the type of consumers companies want to sell extended warranties, to because we're unlikely to make claims. When Even You Should Buy a Warranty While it doesn't make financial sense to buy an extended warranty or insurance on a $30 toaster, are there other purchases where it is actually a good idea? "We advise consumers to consider: 'What would my life be like not having this device and what would the cost if I wanted to replace that particular unit be?' " says Stephen Ebbett, president of ProtectYourBubble.com. "So if your TV was to break outside of the manufacturer's warranty, that could be a $3,000 bill or more." Ebbett also recommended that consumers think about what it would be like to be without a critical item or gadget in their life. For example, if you were to loose or break your smartphone, what would that be like? The obvious items that you may want to buy an extended warranty for are laptops, smart phones, and tablets. You may also want to consider an extended warranty for an expensive camera like a digital SLR. How to Avoid Falling for the Extended Warranty Trap One of the best moves you can make is to say "no" at the register when a cashier offers you an extended warranty. But there are a few things you can do if you're nervous about an item breaking. First, review the existing manufacturer's warranty. You may be able to file most claims directly through the manufacturer if you have any issues with an item. It pays to understand the coverage that comes with most products -- its limits, exclusions, and when the coverage expires. Manufacturer's warranties cover most repairs that you might need. You should also understand that many manufacturers' warranties cover you through the expected useful life of that item. If it breaks, that's most likely an indication that the product wasn't built to last much longer anyway, and you simply need a new one. "Just about all manufacturers warranty their purchases for a certain length of time (most do so for the first year) and many credit cards will extend that warranty. In some cases, they double it," says David Bakke, writer from the popular blog Money Crashers. "A few instances where it might make sense to purchase an extended warranty are for used automobiles and older homes. For all other purchases, invest in a quality brand name and you also lessen the chance that your item will break down." If you feel like you to buy an extended warranty, shop around for the best deals. Don't get trapped in thinking that you have to buy the warranty where you buy the gadget. You may find a better deal -- more coverage, fewer restrictions, faster returns, and better service -- from a third-party insurer. Consider Self-Insuring Your Purchases You can also consider self-insuring your purchase. If you are worried about how you'd pay to repair or replace a specific broken item, each month, set aside a small fraction of its cost in a savings account. That will give you a fair amount of assurance that you when it comes time to replace it, you'll be in a good position to do so. And you never need to worry about having wasted your money if it outlasts your self-warranty. For example, if you're buying a brand new refrigerator, look up the expected life span of that model online. Typically, people need to replace refrigerators every 10 years. So, if a refrigerator costs $2,000 and you are worried about it breaking, set aside $17 a month. And, in 10 years, you'll have enough saved for a new one. Of course, this is a simplistic example, but it gives you an idea of how to think of self-insuring your purchases instead of buying an extended warranty for them. Most consumers should skip extended warranties almost all the time. Even when they seem relatively cheap, they're rarely worth the money, because the odds are you won't use them.

Sunday, March 8, 2015

The Four Biggest Mistakes in Stock, ETF and Futures Trading Strategies

In this series I would like to share with you the four biggest mistakes traders and investors make which costs them time, money and usually self-confidence when trading stocks, ETF's or futures trading strategies.

The Four Biggest Mistakes

1. Lack Of A Trading Plan

2. Using To Much Leverage

3. Failure to Control Risk

4. Lack Of Self-Discipline

Throughout this multi-part series I will cover the major mistakes, why traders make them and how you can avoid them with your stock, ETF, and futures trading strategies.

While most books about trading are based on success, I want to talk about the other 90% of traders and trading results – the dark side of the business. Why? Because if you can avoid the mistakes then success should naturally happen. Trading As Your Business should not be taken lightly and it's generally the little things (negatives) that make the biggest differences.

Part I – Lack Of A Trading Plan

Recently to took a free online course by Steve Blank. The program was called "How to Build a Startup". This course was really well done and if you are an entrepreneur then it's a must do course hands down. I think it took me roughly 10-12 hours (online videos with embedded quizzes). Anyway, Steve teaches you everything you need to know and do before starting any type of business and why so many individuals fail to succeed.

The #1 mistake made by traders is because they have no trading plan to guide them through the financial market place. A surprisingly high level of traders enter the market without a clear strategy on how they will trade in and out of the market. Most traders are so excited to start trading they simply skip the process of creating, building and testing a stock, ETF of futures trading strategy before they actually start trading with real money and why there is a high rate of failure.

If you take great pride in your trading and truly want to succeed over the long run, then I am sure you find yourself as I do, constantly consumed by monitoring your trades and strategies to be sure the process is executed correctly. If this is you, then congratulations, you are rare and likely making some big money.

Why Do Trades Make Mistake #1?

The main reason individuals trade without a plan is because of the allure that making money in the market can be quick and highly profitable. Many people just do not want to "waste" time planning to trade when they can just pull the trigger to buy and sell within minutes of opening a trading account.

This mind set is understandable. We are all guilty of tossing a product manual to the side and just try to build or use a new product without learning how it works, only to realize hours or days later we are reading the manual because we made some mistakes…

Let's face it, with so many marketing ads hitting our inbox each day, and books talking about how traders are turning $10,000 into $1,000,000 in less than a year most novice traders will get fired up and start trading before they are truly ready.

Stock ,ETF and Futures Trading Strategies Brutal Truth You Don't Want

As with any business or professional to be a success a great deal of hard work is typically involved. First of all it is not easy to build a successful trading plan. And then if you can do that, then you need to follow the plan, which is actually even harder. If you want to be a successful trader then you better be prepared to pay the price in terms of time and money.

How to Avoid Mistake #1 – There are only two ways around making this mistake

Avoidance Method 1 - The first is to devote as much time and energy needed to develop a detailed stock, ETF or futures trading strategy that addresses all of the key elements of a successful trading plan and system and still knowing that this will BOT guarantee your success.

The Key Elements That Must Be Mapped Out

- How much money can you afford to lose/trade without affecting your lifestyle?

- What market/s will you trade?

- What trading time frames works best for you?

- Day trade, swing trade, investing, manual order entry, automated trading system?

- What will your criteria's be for entering a trade?

- What will your criteria's be for exiting a trade with partial profits?

- What will your criteria's be for getting stopped out of a trade gone bad?

- What time frame chart will use base the trend of the market on for you trades to follow?

- How will to manage positions by letting your profits run and by cutting losses?

Avoidance Method 2 – The second and fasted growing route traders and investors are going is to buy or subscribe to ETF Trading Strategies, or Futures Trading Strategies and fast track the process to hopefully make money trading with the least amount of effort, the lowest amount of downside risk for their capital and being 100% hands free.

Part I – Conclusion:

I hope this short report helps you see the light at the end of the very long tunnel of creating, building and following a trading plan. Without this first step/blueprint you are doomed from day one.

Keep your eyes open for part II where I will talk about trading with leverage, how to avoid it, and how to use it to generate massive gains if used correctly.

Chris Vermeulen – www.TheGoldAndOilGuy.com